• 6,648 Abibisika (Black Gold) Points

      Causal relationship between gross domestic product
      and personal consumption expenditure of Nigeria (2009)

      • 6,648 Abibisika (Black Gold) Points
        This is a short but quite technical paper, using the statistical technique of linear regression. I am adding it here for two reasons: 1) Linear regression is arguably the most widely used technique in economics; 2) As the paper makes clear, GDP is the most common measure of economic activity in a country.

        That being said, GDP has serious problems, as does linear regression. However, they must be understood.

        If anyone is interested in this paper but has questions, please let me know and I will help as best I can.

          • 10,006 Abibisika (Black Gold) Points
            The paper concludes that personal expenditure increase is what determines increase in GDP and not the other way round. This is a good start to re-calibrate what has been an upsidedown approach that legitimizes “trickle-down economics”. The GDP approach serves certain political agendas and I think those who benefit from it will try to maintain it so it is up to those on the receiving end to take this approach as put in the paper